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Monday, 20 February 2017

DAILY COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY- 21 Feb 2017

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Crude prices rise as investors bet big on oil strength

Crude futures rose for a second day on Tuesday, with data showing hedge funds are betting big across oil markets following OPEC production cuts agreed last year.

US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 31 cents, or 0.6 percent, at USd 53.71 a barrel at 0218 GMT, after rising about 0.5 percent in a shortened session on Monday due to a US national holiday.

Brent futures gained 6 cents, or 0.1 percent, to USd 56.24 a barrel, after ending the previous session up 0.7 percent.

Investors now hold more crude futures and options than at any time on record, after members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) committed last year to cut production.

Speculators raised their bets on a rally in Brent oil prices to a record last week, data from the InterContinental Exchange showed on Monday, mirroring the optimism in the US crude market.

Data on Friday showed net long US crude futures and options positions in the week to Feb. 14 were at a record.

"As bullish positioning by hedge funds continues to push on in unchartered territory, the risk of a swift, sharp snapback in prices continues to build," ClipperData analyst Matt Smith said in an overnight note.

The oil market will have to wait until Thursday, a day later than normal, for the release of this week's official data, due to the holiday on Monday.

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